To combine AI, social media, and market data

Elon Musk’s X names Polymarket as official prediction market partner amid Trump feud

2025-06-09
Reading time 1:29 min

Elon Musk’s social media platform X (formerly Twitter) has named Polymarket as its official prediction market partner, the companies said on Friday, unveiling plans to jointly launch an integrated product combining real-time market data with social media insights and AI-generated analysis.

Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based prediction platform, said the collaboration will bring “data-driven insights and recommendations” to its global user base, powered by X’s platform activity and Grok, Musk’s artificial intelligence tool.

We are pleased to partner with Polymarket and look forward to bringing our data and technology to Polymarket users through a range of creative product integrations,” said Linda Yaccarino, CEO of X.

The planned product will incorporate real-time annotations on prediction markets, merging social media commentary, Grok’s AI-generated summaries, and Polymarket's pricing data. It will be the first in what both companies described as a “suite of integrations and unique experiences.”

“Combining Polymarket’s accurate, unbiased, and real-time prediction market probabilities with Grok’s analysis and X’s real-time insights will enable us to provide contextualised, data-driven insights to millions of Polymarket users around the world instantaneously,” said Shayne Coplan, Polymarket’s CEO.

The announcement follows a short-lived partnership disclosure last month between X’s AI unit xAI and CFTC-registered exchange Kalshi, which was retracted the same day. Kalshi is backed by Donald Trump Jr., who became a strategic advisor to the platform in January.

The timing of the X–Polymarket deal has drawn scrutiny, coming just days after a highly publicized online clash between Musk and U.S. President Donald Trump. The two exchanged barbs on their respective social media platforms over political spending and corporate subsidies, with Musk escalating the feud by referencing Trump’s alleged links to Jeffrey Epstein.

Polymarket, launched in 2020, operates outside U.S. regulatory oversight. It settled charges with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in January 2022 and blocks U.S. users from accessing its platform. Despite that, the platform saw more than $8 billion in trading volume in 2024, largely from international markets.

The site has faced criticism for allowing bets on topics such as the California wildfires and the death of Pope Francis, raising concerns over market ethics and compliance with anti-money laundering (AML) standards.

Polymarket has previously partnered with platforms such as Perplexity and Substack to integrate its prediction data into news and editorial content.

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