“While not our base case, if EU/US goes into a recession and China GDP drops to 7.9 %, Macau’s growth may fall from YTD run-rate of 45 % to 10-20 %,” Deutsche Bank analyst Karen Tang wrote in an investors note released late last week.
Tang pointed out that Macau is very dependent on the VIP segment; with luxury car, gold and jewellery sales easing in China, Deutsche Bank expects a similar impact on gaming in Macau.